Zonke izinto ezidlule, zamanje nezesikhathi esizayo zemakethe kanye nokuziphatha zingabalelwa ekusebenzisaneni kwamandla emakethe "yokunikezela kanye nesidingo".Uma amandla eqembu elilodwa emakhudlwana kunelinye, ukulungiswa kwentengo kuzokwenzeka.Eminyakeni yamuva nje, ukwenyuka okuqhubekayo kwamanani olwandle phakathi kwe-China, i-United States kanye ne-Europe emaphakathi kuwumphumela nje wokufuna njalo ibhalansi phakathi kokunikezwa nokufunwa.Iyini imbangela yokungalingani phakathi kokuhlinzeka nokufunwa?
Okokuqala, ukusimama komnotho waseShayina ngokushesha kuholele esidingweni esiphuthumayo sokugaya amandla okukhiqiza asekhaya.
Ngisho noma ukunyuka kwezindleko okubangelwa ukunyuka kwempahla yasolwandle, akukwazi ukumisa umkhuba wokuthekelisa wezimpahla zaseShayina.Uma sibheka izinga lokukhula lika-3.2% engxenyeni yesibili ye-China, isivinini sokuthola kabusha kwemakethe yaseShayina sishesha kakhulu.Sonke siyazi ukuthi imboni yokukhiqiza inokukhiqiza, i-inventory kanye nomjikelezo wokugaya.Ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukuqhubeka komugqa wokukhiqiza kanye nalo lonke uchungechunge lokuhlinzeka, ngisho noma izinga lenzuzo yonke liphansi, ngisho noma kukhona ukulahlekelwa, ibhizinisi lizophendula ngokushesha imikhiqizo eqediwe.Kulapho kuphela imikhiqizo nezimali zigeleza ndawonye lapho singanciphisa khona ingcuphe yokusebenza okuhlelekile okubangwa umjikelezo.Mhlawumbe abantu abaningi abakuqondi lokho.Uma umisa itafula, uzoqonda ukuthi ngiqonde ukuthini.Ngisho noma umthengi enciphisa inani ukuze angenzi nzuzo, umdayisi uzokujabulela ukuthengisa izimpahla.Lokhu kungenxa yokuthi kukhona ukuhamba kwemali, kuzoba namathuba okwenza imali.Uma isiba yi-inventory, izolahlekelwa ithuba lokwenza imali nenzuzo.Lokhu kuhambisana nesidingo esiphuthumayo sokugaya umthamo wokukhiqiza e-China kulesi sigaba, futhi ingakwamukela ukwanda okuqhubekayo Leso isizathu esisodwa.
Okwesibili, idatha yokuthumela isekela ukukhuphuka kwezindleko zokuthumela zezinkampani ezinkulu zemikhumbi.
Ngifuna ukukutshela ukuthi kungakhathaliseki ukuthi inkampani yemikhumbi noma inkampani yezindiza, ngeke ingakunaki ukukhulisa noma ukunciphisa impahla noma ukukhulisa noma ukunciphisa umthamo wezokuthutha.Indlela yamanani entengo yenkampani yemikhumbi neyenkampani yokuthumela isekelwa isethi yokuqoqwa kwedatha enembile futhi enkulu, ukulinganisa kanye ne-algorithm yokubikezela, futhi bazosebenzisa imodeli yezibalo ukubala intengo Yephula intengo namandla okuthutha ngemva kwesikhashana. -inzuzo yemakethe yesikhathi eside, bese wenza isinqumo.Ngakho-ke, konke ukulungiswa kwempahla yasolwandle esikuzwayo kuwumphumela wokubala okunembile.Ngaphezu kwalokho, izimpahla ezilungisiwe zizosekela inkampani yemikhumbi ukuze izinze izinga lenzuzo yonke esikhathini esithile esizayo.Uma idatha yokunikezwa kwemakethe kanye nesidingo ishintshashintsha, okubangela izinguquko kuzinga lenzuzo enkulu, inkampani yemikhumbi izosebenzisa ngokushesha ithuluzi lokukhuphula umthamo kanye nokunciphisa ukuze kunzinziswe umkhawulo wenzuzo ezingeni lokubikezela Inani likhulu kakhulu, lapha lingakhomba kuphela, abangani abanentshisekelo bangangeza abangani bami ukuze baqhubeke nokuxoxa.
Okwesithathu, lolu bhubhane lushubisa umfutho wempi yohwebo, lubeke imingcele ukuthengwa nokuthekelisa amazwe amaningi emazweni angaphandle, futhi luholela ekuntulekeni kwamandla okuthutha kanye nokwanda kwempahla.
Angiyena umcabango wozungu, kodwa ngizokhipha imiphumela eminingi engalindelekile ngesisekelo solwazi lwenhloso.Eqinisweni, inkinga elula yokuhlinzeka ngemikhumbi kanye nesidingo empeleni igxile endleleni amazwe abhekana ngayo nesimo esiwumqedazwe futhi afune imiphumela yoguquko lwenani langaphakathi nangaphandle.Isibonelo, i-India yaqala yayeka ukuthola izimpahla zaseShayina futhi yahlola zonke izimpahla zaseShayina ngo-100%, Ngenxa yalokho, impahla yasolwandle esuka eChina iya eNdiya ikhuphuke ngo-475% uma iqhathaniswa nenyanga edlule, futhi isidingo sincipha ngokuqondile, okuholele ekutheni ukuncishiswa kwamandla okuthutha kanye nebhalansi yokuhlinzeka kanye nesidingo.Kungokufanayo nokukhuphuka kwamanani ezimpahla emizileni yase-Sino US.
Kusukela ekuhlaziyeni okuyisisekelo, okwamanje, kokubili umphakeli kanye nomfunayo abasakusekeli ukukhuphuka okuqhubekayo kwempahla yasolwandle.Ungabona ukuthi kusukela ekuqaleni kwekota yesithathu, izinkampani zemikhumbi seziqalile ukwandisa umthamo wezokuthutha, bese kulinganiselwa ukuthi zizoqhubeka zikhula ukuze zandise izilinganiso zenzuzo futhi zinciphise ukulahlekelwa konyaka, ngenkathi zinciphisa imithwalo kanye nokwandisa isidingo semakethe. ukunwebeka.Okwesibili, sibheka amakhasimende, futhi ngokuvamile siqala ukukhononda ngokuthi ukuthutha olwandle kudle ingxenye enkulu yenzuzo yomkhiqizo.Uma ikhuphuka kakhulu, ezinye zazo ngeke zibe ngaphansi kwengcindezi ye-supply chain ne-capital I-Export Chamber of Commerce izomisa ama-oda futhi ihoxe emakethe okwesikhashana.Lapho isidingo semakethe yamazwe ngamazwe sikhuphuka futhi intengo ikhuphuka, futhi umkhawulo wenzuzo uvela futhi, imakethe ngokuyisisekelo isesigabeni sokuqala sokulahlekelwa amandla.
Okwamanje, ngenxa yokuthi isimo esiwumqedazwe kwamanye amazwe asikalawulwanga ngempumelelo futhi nemboni yokukhiqiza ayikalulami, imboni yokukhiqiza nokukhiqiza yaseShayina isahamba phambili.Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukunyuka kwempahla yasolwandle kukhawulele ukukhululwa kwamandla eChina, kuthinte ukusebenza okuvamile kwezimboni ezahlukene kanye nokuqashwa okuthintekile.Umbuso uzongenelela ngamathuluzi enqubomgomo.Njengamanje, izinkampani zemikhumbi, ezokuthutha zamazwe ngamazwe kanye nabathumeli bempahla bamazwe ngamazwe bazisiwe ngokulandelana, bebika ngezinhlelo zakamuva zokuthutha kanye nokushintshashintsha kwempahla kanye nezizathu.Kulinganiselwa ukuthi kuzoba nezinguquko ezibalulekile ekuthuthweni olwandle esikhathini esizayo esiseduze.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Mar-10-2022